Market Pulse

IndexLast Week1-Month (Trailing)YTD
DJIA -1.26% -3.55% +6.48%
S&P 500 -0.27% +0.73% +12.81%
Nasdaq +0.45% +3.71% +16.99%
Russell 2000 -0.16% -4.07% +14.14%
MSCI EAFE -1.69% -3.34% +7.63%
MSCI EM -1.35% +0.49% +22.13%
Bloomberg U.S. Agg -0.56% -2.33% -2.83%
Bloomberg U.S. Corp HY -0.86% -2.42% +0.15%
Data as of: Friday, October 2, 2026
See important disclosures below.

Weekly Recap

09/28/2026 - 10/02/2026

U.S. Economy

  • September payrolls rose just 29K, missing expectations sharply.
  • Fed officials signaled less urgency for additional tightening.

Equity Market

  • Major indices fell as weak market breadth persisted.
  • Semiconductors gained 3.7%, extending their five-week winning streak.

Bond Market

  • Treasury curve steepened as long-term yields reached multiyear highs.
  • Short-term yields eased alongside declining Fed hike expectations.

Around the Globe

  • Gold fell 3.7% while silver declined 6.8%.
  • WTI crude fell 1.4%, its third consecutive weekly decline.

The Week Ahead…

10/05/2026 - 10/09/2026

  • Mon
    • Services PMI Final
    • ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
  • Tue
    • Trade Balance
    • Lamb Weston, RPM International earnings
    • Constellation Brands earnings
  • Wed
    • FOMC Minutes
    • Consumer Credit
    • Levi Strauss, Applied Digital earnings
  • Thu
    • Weekly Jobless Claims
    • Wholesale Inventories
    • PepsiCo earnings
  • Fri
    • Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Preliminary)
    • Delta Air Lines earnings

Markets enter the new week focused heavily on incoming economic data and the Federal Reserve after softer September payrolls and more measured commentary from policymakers reduced expectations for another near-term rate increase. Monday brings final Services PMI data and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, followed by Tuesday’s trade balance report.

Wednesday should command particular attention with the release of the September FOMC minutes, offering investors additional insight into policymakers’ thinking following the latest rate increase. Consumer credit is also due, while Thursday features weekly jobless claims and wholesale inventories.

Friday closes the week with preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment, providing another look at household confidence and inflation expectations. Earnings activity remains relatively light ahead of the broader Q3 reporting season, with notable results expected from Lamb Weston, Constellation Brands, Levi Strauss, Applied Digital, PepsiCo and Delta Air Lines. Treasury supply will also remain in focus following the recent rise in longer-term yields.
-Matt Shaw, CFA

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