Market Pulse

IndexLast Week1-Month (Trailing)YTD
DJIA +0.28% -3.26% +7.83%
S&P 500 +1.21% +0.86% +13.12%
Nasdaq +2.06% +3.51% +16.46%
Russell 2000 -0.80% -5.73% +14.33%
MSCI EAFE +0.18% -3.27% +9.48%
MSCI EM +1.26% +1.66% +23.81%
Bloomberg U.S. Agg -0.88% -2.57% -2.28%
Bloomberg U.S. Corp HY -0.90% -1.70% +1.02%
Data as of: Friday, September 25, 2026
See important disclosures below.

Weekly Recap

09/21/2026 - 09/25/2026

U.S. Economy

  • September PMI surged, reinforcing inflation and rate-hike concerns.
  • Fed officials signaled further tightening may be warranted.

Equity Market

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced, led by AI enthusiasm.
  • Small caps fell as sharply higher yields weighed.

Bond Market

  • Treasury yields surged amid strong data, hawkish Fed rhetoric.
  • Weak auctions compounded pressure across the Treasury curve.

Around the Globe

  • Oil fell as Middle East supply flows improved.
  • Norway raised rates; Sweden signaled possible year-end tightening.

The Week Ahead…

09/28/2026 - 10/02/2026

  • Mon
    • Vail Resorts earnings
  • Tue
    • JOLTS Job Openings (Aug)
    • Consumer Confidence (Sep)
    • Carnival, CarMax earnings
  • Wed
    • ADP Employment Report (Sep)
    • Core PCE (Aug)
    • Micron, Conagra, FactSet, Jabil earnings
  • Thu
    • ISM Manufacturing (Sep)
    • Weekly Jobless Claims
    • Accenture, Nike, McCormick earnings
  • Fri
    • Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep)
    • Unemployment Rate (Sep)
    • Average Hourly Earnings (Sep)

Markets enter the week with rates firmly in focus following a sharp Treasury selloff driven by stronger economic data, hawkish Fed commentary and weak auction demand. Tuesday brings August JOLTS and September Consumer Confidence, offering an early read on labor demand and household sentiment.

Wednesday is particularly busy, with ADP payrolls and August Core PCE providing important signals on employment and inflation. Investors will also digest earnings from Micron, Conagra, FactSet and Jabil. Thursday brings September ISM Manufacturing and weekly jobless claims, while Accenture, McCormick and Nike headline the corporate calendar.

Friday’s September employment report should be the week’s biggest macro catalyst. Payroll growth is expected to slow meaningfully from August, while unemployment and wage growth will help shape expectations for additional Federal Reserve tightening. Markets will be watching closely for evidence that economic momentum remains strong enough to sustain elevated rates.
-Matt Shaw, CFA

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