Market Pulse

IndexLast Week1-Month (Trailing)YTD
DJIA -0.48% +2.42% +11.89%
S&P 500 +0.33% +3.18% +13.70%
Nasdaq -0.01% +2.23% +14.83%
Russell 2000 +0.97% +3.35% +23.46%
MSCI EAFE +0.03% +4.45% +13.07%
MSCI EM +1.38% +1.33% +21.63%
Bloomberg U.S. Agg +0.13% +0.09% +0.04%
Bloomberg U.S. Corp HY +0.19% +0.62% +2.64%
Data as of: Friday, August 14, 2026
See important disclosures below.

Weekly Recap

08/10/2026 - 08/14/2026

U.S. Economy

  • Hawkish Fed rhetoric reduced expected year-end rate cuts
  • September hike odds fell after cooler inflation data

Equity Market

  • Earnings calendar shifts toward major consumer discretionary companies
  • Walmart, Home Depot, Target highlight upcoming earnings slate

Bond Market

  • Markets price just 22.7 basis points of cuts
  • Year-end easing expectations fell six basis points weekly

Around the Globe

  • European inflation and unemployment data headline regional releases
  • Canada inflation and Asian economic data remain in focus

The Week Ahead…

08/17/2026 - 08/21/2026

  • Mon
    • Empire Manufacturing Index
    • NAHB Housing Market Index
    • TIC Flows
  • Tue
    • Housing Starts
    • Industrial Production
    • Home Depot, Baidu, Toll Brothers, Keysight earnings
  • Wed
    • FOMC Minutes
    • Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Analog Devices, Estée Lauder earnings
  • Thu
    • Weekly Jobless Claims
    • Philadelphia Fed Index
    • Walmart, Deere, Alibaba, Ross Stores earnings
  • Fri
    • Manufacturing PMI
    • Services PMI
    • BJ’s Wholesale earnings

Markets enter the week with attention shifting from inflation toward housing, Fed policy, and the health of the consumer. Recent softer inflation readings have reduced expectations for additional Fed tightening, making Wednesday’s FOMC minutes an important window into policymakers’ thinking and the balance of risks heading into September.

Housing takes center stage early, with Monday’s NAHB Housing Market Index followed by Tuesday’s housing starts, building permits, and pending home sales. Friday’s preliminary manufacturing and services PMIs will then provide a broader look at August economic momentum and whether growth is holding up as financial conditions remain restrictive.

Earnings are increasingly retail-focused as the broader reporting season winds down. Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Walmart, and Ross Stores will offer important reads on consumer spending, while Deere provides additional insight into industrial and agricultural demand.
-Matt Shaw, CFA

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